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DOKUMENT
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Tittel
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Modelling of dynamic risk for enhanced ship monitoring and risk reduction
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Forfatter/
Referanse
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Magnus Strandmyr Eide 1), Øyvind Endresen 1), Kjell Røang 2), Jon Leon Ervik 3)
1) Det Norske Veritas Research & Innovation, Norway 2) Christian Mikkelsen Research 3)
The Norwegian Coastal Administration
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Sammendrag
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Oil spill data indicate that oil spill volumes and clean up cost for drift grounding accidents are
higher compared to other accident types. A typ-ical drift grounding accident with oil spill may
cost up to 500 millions US dollars, depending on weather and stranding area. Studies
indicate high potential for risk reduction in shore based support systems, such as VTS
centres. To en- hance the performance of VTS, dynamical risk based positioning of tugs has
been suggested as a innovative approach. The methodology devel-oped in cooperation with
the Norwegian Coastal Administration will help enhance the effective-ness of oil spill
prevention from drift grounding accidents by dynamically assessing the risk (for this type of
accident) and thus allowing for a risk based positioning of tugs along the coast, placing the
tugs where they can be most effec-tive. This paper focuses on the application of the dynamic
risk model, with description of an im-plemented online demonstrator of the model for vessels
on the Norwegian coast. It is concluded that the developed decision support system may
improve the cost effectiveness of the existing tug program significantly.
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Lenker
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1. Prosjektbeskrivelse
